For many expats here in Singapore, we are earning in SGD, but we may have cash or assets in various other currencies. This can often pose certain additional risks when it comes to investing, mainly, currency risk. Currency risk, also known as exchange rate risk, is the risk that the value of your investment will fluctuate due to changes in the exchange rate between, for example, the euro (EUR) and the Singapore dollar (SGD). Here’s how this risk can affect your investment, and what you should take note of before you decide to invest in a certain currency: (FYI I’m going to be using euros as the main example currency here)

1. Fluctuating Exchange Rates: If you invest in assets denominated in euros, the value of those assets will be influenced by the exchange rate between the euro and your home currency (SGD). If the euro strengthens against the SGD, the value of your investment in SGD terms will increase. Conversely, if the euro weakens against the SGD, the value of your investment in SGD terms will decrease.

• For example, if you invest €1,000 and the exchange rate is 1 EUR = 1.5 SGD at the time of purchase, your investment is worth 1,500 SGD. If the exchange rate later changes to 1 EUR = 1.3 SGD, your investment would then be worth only 1,300 SGD.

2. Impact on Returns: Currency fluctuations can significantly impact your returns. Even if your euro-denominated investments perform well in their local market, adverse currency movements can erase or diminish your gains when converted back to SGD.

3. Hedging Options: To manage currency risk, investors can use various hedging strategies. These may include forward contracts, options, or other financial instruments that can help offset potential losses due to currency movements. However, hedging comes with its own costs and considerations. I don’t often suggest this to my clients as hedging is a higher-risk strategy. However, for an avid & experienced investor, this is a good option.

4. Diversification: Diversifying your investments across various currencies can help mitigate currency risk. By holding a mix of assets denominated in different currencies, you may reduce the potential negative impact of fluctuations in any single currency. Diversification, as you will know if you’ve read a lot of my articles, is a key part of investing, and whilst it’s not smart to invest in every single currency, having a mix of currencies such as the one you earn in, the one where you have assets etc. is a good way for lessening exchange rate risk.

5. Long-Term vs. Short-Term: If you are investing for the long term, short-term currency fluctuations might be less of a concern since over time, currencies tend to fluctuate in cycles. However, if you’re looking at a shorter investment horizon, currency risk may significantly affect your returns.

6. Global Economic Factors: Currency values are influenced by a variety of factors, including interest rates, inflation, political stability, and overall economic performance in both regions. Staying informed about these factors can help you anticipate potential currency movements.

These are key points to remember if you are faced with currency risk; investing in euros while earning in SGD exposes you to exchange rate risk, which can affect the value of your investments when converted back to your home currency. It’s essential to consider this risk in your investment strategy and explore ways to manage or mitigate it based on your investment goals and risk tolerance.