Monthly Archives: January 2024

How NRIs Can Make The Most Of Their Time In Singapore

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A recent study by the Ministry of External Affairs Consular Services showed that NRIs (non-resident Indians) make up 24% of Singapore’s ‘non-resident’ population, which is currently at 1.4 million. Even though this group is referred to as ‘non-resident’, they are living and working as professionals in Singapore. This means that they are not considered as tax residents in India. Many of my clients come from this demographic, and as such, I felt it would be best to share some of the topics we discuss, namely, what they can do whilst they are living and working in Singapore to make the most of their time here.

  1. Saving

I will admit that Indian bank accounts have great interest rates- general public interest rates can be as good as 7.85% per year, and this often puts many NRIs off saving or even investing in Singapore, because they feel that the rate of return is low in comparison. However, there are many factors that have to be considered, which I believe makes Singapore a good place to build wealth. The first is that the Singapore Dollar is a stable currency. INR continues to depreciate against SGD by 3-4% per annum, with an inflation rate of 5.69%, meaning that rupees purchasing power will become less and less as the years go on, meaning that saving in INR and Indian bank accounts may not be as beneficial in the long run. The SGD is among one of the few stable and most traded currencies globally. It is regarded as a safe haven asset that also hedges against currency risk.

Not only that, the Singapore banking system is not only safe but simple; the Monetary Authority of Singapore esures tight regulations, but it doesn’t mean more bureaucracy. It is quite simple to transfer money around or even overseas from Singapore. This is in contrast to India, where there are still a lot of tedious processes in place, especially when it comes to selling a property as an NRI, or moving money out of the country.

2. Tax Relief Opportunities

This may be one of the most attractive reasons for NRIs to plan their finances in Singapore. There are many different kinds of taxes in India, whether that be direct or indirect. Direct taxes include things like income tax, capital gains tax or gift tax, with indirect tax including customs duty, value-added tax and service tax. This tax-heavy system can eat into your bank interest rate or your investment rate of return. In Singapore we have no capital gains tax, low income tax in comparison to other countries, and lots of tax reliefs, such as the SRS scheme (check out my articles on this topic here https://danielleteboul.com/2023/08/10/why-should-expats-open-an-srs-account/).

Source:

India Today Web Desk

New Delhi,UPDATED: Feb 1, 2023 14:14 IST

3. Investing

Speaking of capital gains tax and SRS accounts; there are many great investment opportunities here in Singapore. For example, in India, offshore funds are restricted. This means that many clients I encounter have excellent domestic portfolios (and don’t get me wrong, India is one of the champions of emerging markets, so it’s a must in someone’s portfolio!) but it is not diversified in terms of geographical location. Not only does that increase your investment risk, but it also means that you as an NRI are only having a small piece of the pie. In Singapore, so long as it is regulated and approved by MAS, you are not restricted to the funds you have. You can have access to regional, global, US, European, emerging market funds. And all of this is incredibly convenient, flexible and cost-effective. It’s pretty much the best of both worlds because you have the safety of Singapore, with the unlimited upside potential of global assets.

4. Being Of NRI Status

Being an NRI definitely has more perks than being a tax paying resident in India, such as all the previous things I have mentioned. Not only that, it means that whilst you are an NRI, you do not have to pay taxes on foreign investment or gifts received from relatives. This of course changes when you are back to being a tax paying Indian resident, with 20% tax on foreign capital gains. This is why it is crucial to make the most of your NRI status whilst you are earning in SGD. Ideally, you can build up a nice pool of assets and savings whilst overseas, and then once you retire or settle down in India, you can plan your finances accordingly following Indian tax ruling. The fact is that not every Indian will get the chance to become and NRI, and the Indian government has allowed many concessions for NRIs living and working overseas, to encourage globalisation. It is best to make the most of being an NRI, enjoying the stable and strong currency of SG, whilst enjoying offshore investment returns.

At the end of the day, we cannot avoid tax, and with many NRIs (60%) still preferring to retire in India, tax is inevitable. But, there is a window where this doesn’t have to be the case. Singapore is a capital gains haven! Why would you pass up on that opportunity!

Fixed Income Leaders Summit

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Towards the end of 2023, I had the honour of speaking at the Fixed Income Leaders Summit in Singapore.

I also shared my thoughts on the bond market and how investors can handle market volatility.

Check out the video and write up here:

https://fixedincomeapac.wbresearch.com/blog/mastering-wealth-management-in-market-volatility-bond-risks-and-inflation

Update On Taiwan

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Only one week after I posted about all the elections in 2024 and what this could mean for global geopolitics, Taiwan has elected Dr William Lai as their president.

This may make things difficult, as Lai has vowed to protect Taiwan from China’s aggression. Xi Jinping has labelled Lai as a troublemaker and obviously would not want Lai to threaten his One China policy. Moreover, tensions have risen after the US congratulated Taiwan on the result- something that China claims goes against the US’s unofficial relationship with Taiwan.

Washington also used phrases like ‘diplomacy’, ‘partnership’ and ‘shared interest and values’, which has of course annoyed Beijing even more. The relationship between Lai and Xi Jinping is so bad that William Lai is not allowed to travel to Mainland China or Hong Kong! The two have not been in communication since 2016. Will this mean that China will increase its economic pressure on Taiwan? Will they threaten military force like they did in 2022? Whatever will happen, it’s clear that tensions will surely rise, as Lai is pro Taiwanese independence.

Of course, the result of the US election will greatly affect China and Taiwan, also, so we will monitor closely as the situation unfolds.

A Political Year For 2024

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2024 may be the biggest election year ever, with almost half of the globe voting! At least 64 countries, plus the European Union will be voting and holding national elections. This is a massive year for global politics, so I thought I would discuss some of the notable elections and ones that interest me (don’t worry, I shan’t talk about all 64!).

US

This one probably makes us groan, and I’m sure we’re all bored of hearing about Trump & Biden, but this is arguably the most important election out of the lot. The US is the largest global power, and this election could see a change in USA’s relationship with North Korea, China, Russia and their stance on the ongoing conflicts in Gaza and Ukraine, depending on who wins. Also this is probably the only one where one of the candidates was a previous president who got impeached twice?

Taiwan

I feel like the whole world has been holding their breath when it comes to Taiwan & China, and this election will be no different! The winner of the Taiwanese election will have a tricky balancing act with China, and it’ll be interesting to see if Beijing continues its hold on the island, and whether the imminent threat of invasion will remain.

North Korea

This is interesting, because I didn’t even know the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea had elections (?!). I’m sure the Kim family, who are seen as somewhat deities in North Korea, don’t have an opposition party? What’s even more interesting, is that every election has been given a ‘freedom & fairness’ score (with 0.00 not being free nor fair at all, with 1 being the most free and fair), and North Korea scored higher than a lot of countries! I thought it would score 0.00, but it scored 0.14, which was higher than Venezuela- which I also expected to be low! Countries that scored 0.00 were Syria, Mali, Chad and South Sudan.

India

This election will be one to watch; not only is this election the largest in the world, but India is a rising global power and one of the most populous countries on the globe. The outcome may change not only domestic policies, but also regional politics, particularly concerning China. It may also escalate (or hopefully deescalate) the country’s rising Muslim/Hindu tensions.

Russia

Shockingly another country that’s free & fairness is not at the bottom of the list (although it is above North Korea)! But I don’t think anyone will be shocked when Putin is re-elected and the current trajectory of Russia’s geopolitics continues- i.e. the war continuing.

EU

Sadly, we’ve seen a surge in right wing parties in Europe, and I’m wondering if this will continue into 2024? It seems that a lot of centre-right parties will maintain their current positions, with even far-right parties gaining traction. The main points for discussion will of course be how the EU navigates conflicts, such as in Ukraine and Gaza, along with its green policies and the EU budget. Deficit Rules were suspended during the pandemic, meaning that members were allowed to borrow whatever they wanted to support their citizens, but this is set to be scrapped in 2024, with Deficit Rules being reinstated. Will this create tension between members?

Indonesia

I don’t have a tonne of opinions on this, but I thought it was interesting to note that Indonesia’s elections are only being held over one day! That’s the largest single-day vote, and I wonder how they are going to pull that off in such a large country that has some very remote locations.

Ukraine

Even though Ukraine is under Martial Law, which normally prohibits elections, there has been talk of these elections continuing, as a mark of democratic health. However, this may prove to be too challenging to organise during a war, with safety being a main concern. Either way, Zelenskiy is set to run for a third term, and he will probably win, with his ratings still remaining very high. However, parliament would have to change the law so that Ukrainiens can vote from overseas.

UK

The outlook of British politics has been bleak for a while now, and with the Conservative Party being in power for the past 14 years, some believe that Labour will win the next election, which Sunak has said will be held this year. This is conflicting for me- whilst I am desperate to see the Conservative Party go, and end their reign of austerity, I’m not convinced that the Labour Party will do a better job. Not only that, I have found myself shocked at every vote and election result in the UK for the longest time. None of us thought Brexit would happen, and how naïve we were to think that we would remain. So I’ve learnt to never think that the obvious flaws of the current party, means that they won’t be re-elected!

Whilst this may be the biggest election year ever, it may also be the most challenging for democracy, with many elections being carried out unfairly, or with risk of danger. Not only that, shock decisions and outcomes may shake the geopolitical framework as we know it. It’s going to be an interesting year for sure.

For the full information on the freedom & fairness score, check out Our World In Data: https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/free-and-fair-elections-index and for the full list of elections, along with dates & scores, check out this great article by Time: https://time.com/6550920/world-elections-2024/.

Why Cash Is Not ACTUALLY King!

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Over the past year or so, we have seen a rise in interest rates and fixed deposits have offered quite attractive returns. Some may be inclined to put all their savings into these guaranteed bank deposits, but is this a smart decision?

I have spoken to many in the past year that are putting off investing because they find fixed deposits more favourable. They believe (which is true) that investments, such as equity and property, is uncertain. So they would rather pick the safer option of fixed deposits. Whilst I do agree it is always a good idea to have liquid cash and sufficient savings, I do believe that your excess money is better off growing elsewhere.

Cash Cannot Beat Inflation

When you put your money in a fixed deposit, you will only gain the guaranteed amount, never any more. Whilst some see this as a good thing, in periods of high inflation (like over the past couple of years), your cash is losing spending power. And inflation is a problem that will always be there; it is not something we can ignore, and historically bank deposits have not battled inflation in comparison to equities.

Lock Ups & Opportunity Costs

In order to receive the guaranteed rate of return of a fixed deposit, you quite often will have to fulfil a tenure. I will admit that these days you can find fixed deposits with quite short tenures, but this often means that inflation may have eroded your guaranteed returns, leaving you with net zero or even negative gains! This also means that you are exposed to reinvestment risks; you as an investor may not be able to reinvest the cash you receive from a matured fixed deposit at the same or better rate again. This shows that bank deposits are good for short-term situations, but have more cons over the long-term. In contrast, historically, investing in equities or bonds have proven to grow capital and protect yourself from inflation.

‘Safe’ May Not Really Be Safe

It has become more apparent recently that the chance of a bank defaulting may not be is minute as we once thought- just look at Credit Suisse, Signature Bank and SVB to name a few. This means that your ‘guaranteed return’ may not actually be guaranteed. Banks are covered by the Deposit Protection Scheme, but take note that generally these limits are not very high. This means that if you have anything more in a fixed deposit, or indeed in a bank account, and the bank folds, they are only obligated to pay you up to that limit, nothing more. To avoid this, it may be a sensible idea to spread your cash across different institutions, not leaving all your assets with one bank. Investing in portfolios can also help you diversify risk, whilst having access to possible high returns, and holding up against inflation long-term.

If anything, market volatility has proven to us that a few key financial principles, such as planning long-term and diversifying to mitigate risk, are very important guidelines to follow. Whilst fixed deposits seem attractive short-term, they expose you to reinvestment risk, and are therefore only beneficial for short-term savings. Focusing all your financial planning on one bank or indeed one savings account, means that you are not diversifying, and not only are you at risk if the bank defaults, but you are also missing out on possible higher returns you could be getting from investment. Cash may be key for every-day living, but it is definitely not king when it comes to successful, long-term planning.