Tag Archives: investment

Behavioural Finance

Posted on by
Reply

Many people often think that money and emotions sit in two different parts of the brain; one is logical and requires objective thinking. The other is feeling, passion and response. However, the two often cross paths, sometimes without us even knowing it; we react emotionally to financial decisions. This is known as behavioural finance, and there are many different types of behavioural finance that one will experience throughout their life. Here, I want to explore each, and point out the pitfalls & traps we can fall into.

Herd Mentality

I feel that this may be one of the most common forms of behavioural finance that I see. It is very similar to ‘FOMO’ or following the crowd. Very frequently in life do people jump on the bandwagon of a particular fad or craze. These fads are often fleeting, and don’t stick around for too long (think of Pogs, Beanie Babies or The Atkins Diet), but during that short period of time everyone was talking about them and hyping them up. Similarly, think of NFTs, Dogecoin & Tulip Mania (the last one is real, look it up) in investing. Most of these fads don’t equal long-term gains, so it’s important not to get swept up in the excitement and think about long-term investment strategies.

Recency Bias

Recency bias tempts investors with fleeting gains and overshadows the broader market view. Many investors tend to be swayed by short-term views and information, and it’s incredibly dangerous for investors to extrapolate short-term recent trends far into the future. It can tempt an investor to abandon the critical principles of diversification, to focus on whatever has been trending over the past few years. This can be particularly risky if the investor already has fell privy to herd mentality. Take a look at the MSCI Emerging Market & the S&P 500 trends below; the dominance of emerging markets from 2000 to 2010 might have led some investors to believe that this upward trend could last forever. This, however, proved to be a misconceived notion, as we can see that from 2010 onwards, this has not been the case & the S&P has overshadowed the latter.

Loss Aversion

Imagine; you’ve spent a lot of time picking and choosing what stocks you want to invest in, but a bad market downturn massively affects your position, causing your investments to take a temporary downturn. Of course, this can lead you to feeling a lot of emotional pain and strife- you may no longer feel confident in your investments, and because of all the negativity this experience has caused, you contemplate withdrawing some, if not all of your investments. This can lead to hasty decisions, potentially derailing your investment strategy. Understanding the impact of loss aversion bias is crucial in navigating market uncertainties. It’s best to avoid this by frequently reviewing your investments and portfolio, ensuring your investment choices are aligned with your long-term financial goals. 

Familiarity Bias

Have you ever found yourself sticking to what you know in investing, just as you might choose a familiar path over an unknown trail? This is familiarity bias at work. It’s natural, but it might limit your investment horizons. Maybe some investors will only put their money in fixed deposits, because that is all they have ever known. Some may put their money in stocks in the same sector they work in, because they are familiar with that industry. It’s important to remember that not everything in life is going to be achieved following one path. When it comes to investments, diversification, investing for the long-term, and time in the market vs. timing the market, are key principles we must stick by.

Even the most rational minds can be swayed by emotions in decision-making. Behavioural finance is about the gap between what we should do – following our rational intentions – and what we actually do – which is often something quite different. This gap can be large and incredibly costly. No matter how rational we think we are, everyone is prone to letting emotions guide their decision-making. The cost of one behavioural mistake – such as moving our portfolio to cash at the trough of a bear market – can outweigh any other investment decision we make. Advice that helps us avoid such situations can be transformative.

What Type of Advisor Should Expats in Singapore Work With?

Posted on by
2

Living in Singapore as an expat can come with its own set of financial challenges that are not applicable to locals. From various tax considerations, to dealing with foreign exchange rates, it’s often quite challenging for expats to ‘DIY’ their financial planning. Therefore, it’s important to find a financial planner, or advisor, that has experience with clients that also have these niche issues. Here’s a few things to look out for when you choose a financial advisor:

  1. Their qualifications & regulations

This is not just applicable for expats, but for anyone seeking financial advice in Singapore. Financial advisors need to be licensed and regulated by the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) to legally give advice, and the investments & products they are selling should be regulated by MAS, too. Even offshore investments in Singapore must follow these regulations; if they are not, you run the risk of not being legally protected should anything go wrong.

2. Their independence & ties

There are two types of advisors in Singapore- independant & tied. If someone is independent, it means that, even though they probably work for a specific firm or financial institution, they are able to recommend various investments, insurance etc. from many companies. A tied advisor can only recommend products from the financial institution or insurance company they work for. I started off my journey as a Private Wealth Manager being tied to a local firm, and I found that this limited my ability to help my clients, particularly expats. Now that I work as an IFA (independent financial advisor), I find that I am able to help expat clients a lot more, as various investments will have different tax considerations, and certain insurance products may be better for expats from certain countries, whilst others are not. It’s totally up to you whether you work with a tied or independent advisor, but I do think that planning can be limited if you are only able to have investments from one company.

3. Their experience with working with expats

Look for a financial advisor who has experience working with expats in Singapore, and who understands the unique financial considerations that come with living abroad. Many local advisors or those who solely work with locals, will not be aware of capital gains tax considerations when an expat repatriates, and a surprise tax bill can be detrimental to investment planning. Retirement planning for expats can be complicated due to factors such as differing retirement ages, pension eligibility, and social security contributions. Advisors that have little experience working with expats may not be familiar with these specific considerations and how they can impact an expat client’s retirement goals. For example, I am able to assist my clients who are British or have worked in the UK, with their retirement planning and pensions. The same goes with Australians, as we have investments that are tax-efficient in these countries, and have tax experts on-hand to advise on this portion of their financial planning. Generally, if you are an expat, it’s good to work with an advisor who will be able to understand your unique situation & goals. You can always ask the advisor what kind of clients they work with, or if they have any case studies to share on clients in similar situations as you.

4. Discuss fees and charges upfront

Generally, in Singapore, fee-based advice is not very common. Whilst this is usual in western countries, in Singapore most advisors are paid either a commission, or an on-going fee, let’s discuss the slight differences between the two:

  • Commissions are paid to the advisor usually upfront, either when you buy an insurance product or an investment. This cost is factored into the premiums that you are paying, along with the company the advisor works for paying a chunk, too. Because these commissions are generally upfront, you may see that the charges are very large in the first couple of years. Due to this, if you are buying a product, be it investment or insurance, that does not require a lot of transactions, you may not always get the same level of service as you did at the start.
  • On-going fees are usually a percentage of the advisors funds under management. They will get a % on whatever monies their clients have entrusted with them. Because these fees are on-going, there is an obligation by the advisor to give you on-going advice and service. This generally tends to lead to a synergy in yours & advisors interest, because as your money grows, so does their pay!

A couple more fees to look out for are transaction and trailer fees; these fees are normally triggered when you buy or sell out of a fund or investment, or switch your portfolio, and a % is paid to the advisor. It is key to be aware of all fees and charges and that your advisor is transparent.

This means that you could have many meetings with your advisor before they actually receive their pay, so do consider if this is the route you would like to go down.

5. Their personality

To me, this may be one of the most important points; you are going to be working with this person for a very long time, therefore it’s best to choose someone that you feel understands and listens to you. As an expat, you may have specific financial goals or concerns that you need help addressing. Make sure the financial advisor you choose communicates clearly and is responsive to your needs. If you are someone who is a novice in investing, you may not like talking about all the ‘buzz words’ of investing, and would appreciate someone communicating to you in an easy-to-understand way. On the flip-side, if you are a bit more knowledgeable and would like investments in specific areas, it’s good to find an advisor that can discuss and educate you on these topics, along with giving their professional opinion.

To conclude, many may think that there isn’t a need for talking to an advisor; they’d rather watch YouTube videos, or talk to their friends and family about finances. But a financial planner should be giving their professional, unbiased opinion. They will be able to objectively look at your goals and financial situation objectively, and construct a clear plan bespoke to you. Always remember that being an expat comes with its own unique situations, and you should look for an advisor that understands that.

Normalise Talking About These Four Money Topics!

Posted on by
1

I recently went away with a friend, and then my family joined me later on, and finances (money in general) came up a lot in general conversation. I was really pleased with how open the discussions were, and I realised that not many people actually have open conversations in their day-to-day lives about money. Whilst money is seen as somewhat of a taboo to talk about, and I do agree that sometimes it is inappropriate, I do think there are some conversation topics we should normalise talking about, here are the top four money topics we should normalise!

One: Saving for a rainy day.

Actually came up quite a lot on my trip, mainly because the friend I was travelling with quit her job to take a year (or more) out to travel the world. She mentioned that quite a lot of people that she met whilst travelling were shocked and confused as to how she could afford to do that. I also commented that I experience quite a lot of the time, especially in Singapore, that if somebody loses a job, they quite quickly mention that they are unable to afford living in Singapore anymore, pack their things, and leave.

I am aware that visa situations can stop people from staying in Singapore more than a month after their visa is cancelled, but a lot of these people are on a One Pass, and if you have read my previous article, you’ll know that this pass doesn’t have so many immigration issues, and basically allows people to stay in the country even without work. So why aren’t people able to stay in the country longer than one month was they look for another job? I think it’s because many people do not save and sometimes spend beyond their means, meaning that if an emergency happens, they are not able to pay for the upfront costs.

Similarly, I think a lot of people are shocked that my friend was able to go travelling for a year, because they realised that they do not set aside enough to cover a years worth of expenses. With conscious & rigid savings of your surplus each month, and planning properly ahead, you are able to set aside for a rainy day, an emergency, or even if you want to take a break from work. Remember, you should have at least 3 to 6 months of your spending as liquid cash available.

Two: Future proofing and passing on your money.

This one might sound quite morbid, and unfortunately, it is really. But my family and I recently have experienced quite a lot of deaths, and as horrible as it is to talk about, it’s better to start talking about future planning and what happens to your finances before it’s too late. For example, my dad shared with us that one of his clients recently passed away, and being UK residents, their family were hit with a huge inheritance tax bill of 40% of the entire wealth. I commented and asked why more people don’t just take out life insurance; in the UK, we can put this into a trust, which protects it from inheritance tax, and that way, even if you have 40% of your wealth in an insurance policy, that will cover the inheritance tax bill at the end of the day. This is a lot more cost-effective than trying to put your housing into a trust, which can often mean paying a lawyer annually to maintain.

He told me that he thought that was a brilliant idea, and a really good way to inheritance tax plan, but not enough people think about it or talk about it with their family, and then unfortunately it is too late. Although in Singapore, we do not have inheritance tax, any overseas assets may be liable to whatever inheritance law is applicable in that country. Moreover, even if your assets are all in Singapore, probate can take a very long time for all the assets to be distributed correctly. Planning ahead for the worst outcome means that you can ensure that your wealth is passed quickly, so the next generation, or whoever you want it to be passed down to, and also means that your family enjoy your hard work, more than a large portion, going to the tax man!

Three: The importance of investing

My friend commented that while she was on a world cruise, she had paid for the internet package on the ship, and whilst it is expensive, I do agree that access to internet in this day and age is a must. However, I was shocked to find out that many of the people on board were not paying for internet, and we are struggling day-to-day, and even asking her to use her internet package! She had commented that it’s obvious that these people aren’t managing their finances correctly, because in a four-month cruise, during that period, you would need access to your online banking, and your investments. She also said that a few of the people on board scoffed at the idea of investments. Unfortunately, I find this very common, even today.

Investing is the only way that you can beat inflation, because most savings accounts do not beat inflation, and endowment policies and savings plans, whilst they do have a guaranteed amount, these often have incredibly high charges, and also do not beat inflation. Thinking that you are going to have a comfortable retirement without doing any savings and investing planning, is quite frankly, not a reality!

What’s more, whilst I have mentioned in the past, and I still think that you should not be checking your investments every single day, it’s important to be having regular reviews with your wealth manager, at least annually, to ensure that your financial and investment goals are still on track, and you can make any adjustments to your investments if necessary. If you are at a retirement or financial freedom stage of your life, it’s also incredibly important to plan how you are going to draw down from your investments, effectively and tax efficiently.

Four: Property

I feel like property is often shrouded in mystery, what can you buy, what can’t you buy? What kind of mortgage? What taxes are applicable and what rent should you charge? My friend has recently sold a property, and I recently closed on an apartment, so the topic of property came up quite a lot on our trip, and even more so with my family afterwards. I think it’s really important that we normalise talking about property purchase more frequently, because there seems to be a lot of misinformation out there. For example, my friend was hit with a large tax bill when she sold her property and nobody, not even her accountants, informed her about this! Many people don’t think that they can apply for a mortgage if they are an expat, which is definitely not the case. Many people don’t understand the process of buying, and how to go about finding a solicitor and so on, and I think if we open up this conversation more, there will be less chance of confusion.

To be honest, I think I have many more things in terms of finances that we should normalise discussing, but seen as I’ve been talking about these four topics a lot recently, and I have been having very productive and positive conversations, I think it’s important that we all normalise certain money conversations in the right spaces. What kind of money conversations do you think we should normalise?

Meme Stocks are Still a Thing…I Guess?

Posted on by
Reply

If you’ve read my article on ‘Money Movies You Should Watch’ (check it out below if you haven’t), you’ll have read about The Big Short. Well shortly after I wrote that article, a new movie, called Dumb Money, was available on Netflix.

Money Movies You Should Watch

Dumb Money is supposed to be like this generation’s Big Short, as it explains the story behind the GameStop short-squeeze and the controversy surrounding RobinHood and hedge funds (check out my article on RobinHood below).

Reddit Vs Wall Street

Essentially back during the pandemic, lots of retail investors got behind certain stocks from companies that were basically in their flop era (think AMC, BlackBerry & GameStop), in a bid to stick it to the hedge fund fat cats.

Well, it seems like we’ve gone back in time, as a lot of these ‘meme stocks’ (aptly named because a bunch of people hyped them up on then Twitter, now X) have seen a rise over 100% in some cases, with the most popular meme stock, GameStop, rising 180% in just five days.

So why is this happening again? Believe it or not, it’s because @TheRoaringKitty, the man behind the last GameStop rally…tweeted a picture of a guy leaning forward…to me this just proves my point of a speculative asset class, but let’s investigate this story a little further.

Keith Gill, AKA Roaring Kitty, started posting his opinions on GameStop back in 2019 and made a tonne of money off of this stock when it hit a historic run. I highly encourage you to watch the movie on Netflix, as it explains the situation perfectly, but he got into a lot of trouble for possible stock manipulation and insider trading. Although the Securities and Exchange Commission released a 45-page report that acknowledged that “People may disagree about the prospects of GameStop and the other meme stocks” and did not indicate that any market manipulation had occurred, it saw the decline of meme stocks, to where most of them pretty much faded into obscurity.

His tweet, to many, signified Gill’s comeback, and over the past few days we’ve seen many X users rally behind him, and GameStop, once again. There’s even been some famous people backing Roaring Kitty & GameStop, notably Andrew Tate. I don’t know about you, but I’m not going to listen to Andrew Tate for financial advice…in fact I’m not going to listen to him for anything!

So, does this mean that we should be investing in this and other meme stocks? Is this the mother of all short-squeezes? There has been so much volatility seen in GameStop (as much as it was in 2021), that many platforms have actually halted trading on the stock, which is very reminiscent of the last time that RobinHood did this, which ended the rally, and was later discovered that it was due to RobinHood having a conflict of interest with some of the hedge funds that were shorting GameStop. Exiting a short position, which a lot of these hedge funds were forced to do, means that they had to buy the stock to exit, pushing the stock price up even further, essentially creating a cycle of pushing the stock up.

But to be honest, we haven’t seen a turnaround in AMC’s, BlackBerry’s on GameStop’s business models as of late, these still aren’t popular companies, we aren’t all going to AMC cinemas and buying BlackBerry phones all of a sudden, which leads me to think that this once again is all still quite speculative. There’s a huge gap between what these companies are trading for and where they are today, which means that we have seen a separation from the stock and the business itself.

I don’t see a repeat of the short squeeze back in 2021, mainly because there isn’t as much short interest as there was back then, mainly because short sellers are either burnt or spooked by what happened back then. Shorting is a high-risk strategy, and many short sellers probably see GameStop to be even higher risk than it was before.

In my honest opinion, market activity and volatility can get very complicated, and where there’s a lot of commentary and speculation around it, meme stocks historically haven’t been as successful as many initially thought. Many companies have experienced hype and speculation around their stock, and have since gone bankrupt, like Bed, Bath & Beyond, and WeWork. The ‘diamond in the rough’ are few and far between, and we have seen many fads in recent times, which is only exacerbated by social media and influencers; many will jump on the bandwagon of hyping up a stock for short-term gains. I would highly recommend my articles on social media & influencers and how they are detrimental to finance, because it’s scenarios like this that perfectly demonstrate my point of view.

How Influencers Are Ruining Your Idea Of Investment
How Social Media is Messing Up Your Money

All in all, I still stand by the fundamental concepts and principle of investing, such as knowing your risk tolerance, investing for the long-term, and taking the emotion out of investing. But what do you think?

Updates On The UK Spring Budget 2024

Posted on by
1

For Brits, the most recent Spring Budget announcement was incredibly important, as it gave us some very key and drastic updates for tax and spending. Essentially, Chancellor Jeremy Hunt aimed to deliver lower taxes, encourage investment and improve public services. Although the elections may affect this announcement, it’s still very important for Brits, particularly those abroad, to be aware of. Martin at Spice Taxation (Company Registration No. 202133724G), has written a very in depth piece on the Spring Budget. It’s incredibly useful to hear the views of a professional tax expert, and Martin has been kind enough for me to share his thoughts here. Of course, I myself am not a UK Tax expert, so I often seek the help of professionals, such as Martin, to help me and my clients with their tax planning when necessary.

Below is Spice Taxation’s write up on the matter.

Our Thoughts on the Spring Budget – 6th March 2024
The Most Important Budget for Expatriates since 2010


“Over the years I have discovered that I am just not very good at predicting Budgets. Speculation is always rife about what a Chancellor might do in face of this and that economic and political situation, but mostly the actual announcements just tend to underwhelm and disappoint. Maybe I just crave excitement!


However, all that changed with Jeremy Hunt’s Budget on 6th March. It is likely to be the last Conservative Party Budget before the next General Election – an election which the Labour Party is widely expected to win. So, it remains to be seen how many of the announcements will find their way onto the Statute books if Labour does win. That aside, it really was an exciting Budget which promises a lot of change, much of it positive.


For much of the speech, it felt like a ‘normal budget’ with a plethora of announcements about regional incentives, funding initiatives, levelling up grants, subsidies and tax breaks for the arts etc. However, there was also a number of genuinely eye-catching and important announcements which are also relevant to expatriates.


First of all, Jeremy Hunt announced a further reduction in National Insurance paid by employees and the self-employed of 2%, from 6th April 2024. For employees, this will reduce from 10% to 8% and for the Self-Employed from 8% to 6%. For those returning to the UK, this will be welcome news.


Secondly, he announced the intention to introduce a new Individual Savings Account – the UK ISA, with an annual subscription allowance of GBP 5,000, in addition to the existing threshold of GBP 20,000. This new ISA would hold British-only assets – equities listed on the four recognised UK stock exchanges, UK corporate bonds and gilts and collectives. This will be good for UK resident savers.


Third, there were a few property tax announcements which came as a surprise:


o The marginal rate of Capital Gains Tax on the sale of residential property will reduce from 28% to 24% from 6th April 2024. This is intended to help stimulate the property market. The basic rate will remain at 18%. This is good for anyone selling, gifting or assigning an interest in UK residential property from that date.


o Multiple Dwellings Relief for Stamp Duty Land Tax is being abolished from 1st June 2024 – this was a relief that allowed you to take the average purchase price for SDLT purposes where at least two properties were being purchased in a single transaction.

o Furnished Holiday Letting status is to be abolished from 6th April 2025, with some anti-forestalling provisions which came into effect on 6th March 2024.


o The geographical scope of Agricultural Property Relief and Woodlands Relief (two Inheritance Tax incentives) will be limited to assets situated in the UK only from 6th April 2024 – those situated in the Crown Dependencies and the EEA will lose their IHT protected status.


Fourth, the VAT registration threshold will rise to GBP 90,000 from 6th April 2024, an increase of GBP 5,000, which will be welcome news for small businesses.


However, perhaps the biggest and most barnstorming announcement was the abolition of ‘non-dom’ status from 6th April 2025. The Conservative Party has been a staunch defender of the ‘non-domiciled regime’ over many years, so it was something of a surprise to see them adopt an avowed Labour Party policy. Stealing their thunder no doubt. It is a very major announcement that will impact many people.

In a nutshell, the Government plans to delink a person’s ‘domicile status’ from their UK tax outcomes, and move to a residence-based set of incentives. Consultation documents are yet to be published, but the main features of the new system will be to:

– Abolish the ‘remittance basis of taxation’ for UK resident ‘non-doms’.

– Replace it with an opt-in system that will allow, seemingly anyone – including, presumably, British nationals – to exempt their non-UK incomes and gains from UK tax for the first four years of UK residence, provided that they have been continuously non-resident for at least the 10 previous years.

– Exempt from tax the remittance of these non-UK income and gains to the UK, which will be hugely simplifying in the long run.

– Retain Overseas Workday Relief for qualifying individuals for the first 3 tax years of residence.

– Apply world-wide taxation for all individuals from the 5th year of residence in the UK.

– Introduce a thoughtful set of transitional reliefs for certain ‘non-doms’ who are already resident in the UK

– Switch away from a ‘domicile based’ system of Inheritance Tax to a residence-based system, whereby qualifying individuals switch to IHT on world-wide assets only after 10 years of residence.

Keep anyone who leaves the UK within IHT for 10 further years, which presumably also will apply to British Expatriates too. UK assets remain within Inheritance Tax at all times, regardless of residence.

We are missing a lot of technical detail here which should be answered by the Consultation Documents that the Government will be publishing shortly. So watch this space! However, whilst I have many more questions than answers at the moment, at first sight the main impacts appear to be the following:


a) Tax planning for relocation to the UK is likely to change quite a bit and these proposals could amount to a generous tax break for returning British expatriates.


b) They will also make Inheritance Tax planning potentially a lot simpler and not so reliant on subjective judgments about where a person is domiciled.


c) It might possibly result in an exemption from Inheritance Tax for a swathe of non-resident British expatriates who have already been non-resident for at least 10 years, which would be quite a result!


I am going out on a limb a little by saying that it appears the proposals will also apply to those we currently regard as ‘domiciled’ in the UK. However, surely that is the point – it is switch away from a tax system where a person’s domicile was the deciding factor, to a tax system where the deciding factor is driven by residence. This potentially bodes extremely well for British expatriates.
If this Budget does turn out to be the Conservative Party’s fiscal swansong, it is perhaps fitting that its period of Government will be bookended by a commitment to enshrine in law a statutory test for residence in 2010 at the start, and a set of announcements that displace domicile with a new regime based on that very residence test at the end. Mastering the Statutory Residence Test is clearly going to be more and more important.
Beyond this, all tax rates, thresholds and allowances for Personal Tax remain frozen, as do the rates for Corporation Tax. The dividend allowance will fall to GBP 500 from 6th April 2024 and the Capital Gains Tax Annual Exemption will fall to GBP 3,000 from the same date. Class 2 and Class 3 voluntary National Insurance Contribution rates will remain unchanged at GBP 3.45 per week and GBP 17.45 per week respectively, and the New State Pension will rise to GBP 221.20 per week (of GBP 11,502.40 per year) from 6th April 2024.”


If you would like to discuss your own circumstances in confidence or would like to be on the subscriber list for Spice Taxation’s new dedicated coverage of these breaking developments, please contact Martin at martin@spicetaxation.com or by sending a Whatsapp to +65 96650019.

I’d like to thank Martin at Spice Taxation for allowing me to share this information with my readers. I am sure that this will help many of you plan your finances in relation to UK tax.

How Did One Of History’s Smartest Men Get Scammed?!

Posted on by
Reply

Even though we’ve all heard the phrase, ‘if it’s too good to be true, it probably is’, there are many that will choose to ignore red flags in the hope that this is not the case. This is true even in investment- if fact, I have written many articles on risk tolerance vs reward, and investment scams (I’ll link below). But it seems that investment scams are not a new thing, and even the smartest person could still fall for them! Did you know that even Sir Isaac Newton, the man who discovered gravity, fell for an investment scam!

Why Financial Advice is Better than DIY
Read up on how a professional can help you avoid investment scams!
Is Volatility A Good Thing?
Why fluctuations are normal in the market, and how not one investment can perpetually go up, without any downs.
How To Spot An Investment Scam
How you can do your own due diligence in spotting an investment scam!
The Pros and Cons of Crypto!
An example of a bubble many investors bought into…

In the early 1700’s, Sir Isaac Newton lost £20,000 in the South Sea Bubble- this amount would now be worth approximately £4,000,000 today! The ironic thing is that he had actually sold his shares in 1713 at a profit, but then was lured back in and lost it all when it bankrupted Georgian London in 1720.

The South Sea Bubble was a pyramid-scheme backed by the government, at the dawn of fiat currency. The Bank of Scotland had issued the first ever paper bank notes back in 1695, which Newton was a great advocate for. He had previously ran the Royal Mint, and he felt that the Mint could never keep up with the demand for producing coins to keep up with the growing economy.

Naturally, many during this period were suspicious of paper money, because it could be easily forged and had no intrinsic value, and Newton fell privy to many con artists and forged notes, in which he made it one of his missions to seek justice for.

But what was the South Sea Bubble and how did Sir Isaac Newton, one of the world’s most intelligent thinkers, fall for it? At the start of the 18th Century, the British Government’s debt was huge. To ease this burden, the government created the South Sea Company, by requiring investors to exchange their government debt holdings for South Sea stock. Much like ‘pump and dump schemes’ that we know of today, the company’s directors grossly inflated stories and hyped up the company so much that new investors saw impressive returns, such as Newton, whose first investment grew by 100%. It was at this point that he sold his stock, happy with his profit.

However, as the stock continued to rise, Newton became envious of those who were still invested. He became so envious, in fact, that he bought into the stock again, and put a larger amount of his wealth towards it. The South Sea Company achieved very little in terms of growth and in September 1720, the bubble finally burst, rendering many of its investors bankrupt.

What Can We Learn From This?

Although Sir Isaac Newton was more intelligent than most, he still made many common human errors. The first is FOMO (fear of missing out), which isn’t just applicable for not going out to the party; he saw everyone else enjoying the continued profits and felt that he shouldn’t have cashed out early. Herd mentality was another human error- quite often people will want to follow the crowd, and invest in an asset class because ‘everyone is talking about it’ or ‘everyone else is doing it’ (NFTs & Crypto ring a bell anyone?). He quite obviously ignored the red flags and practised ‘selective hearing’- remember this man co-created calculus; he should have known that the numbers weren’t adding up and this was a bubble soon to burst, but he ignored the warning signs.

The most fatal flaw arguably, was greed. People become excited at the thought of making money quickly, and unfortunately this is a driving factor in people making poor investment decisions. He did not take the emotion out of investing, and succumbed to greed. If you can put your emotions aside, you can actually become a better investor than Sir Isaac Newton.

How To Take Emotion Out Of Investing
Why emotions can hinder investment planning.
How To Be A Successful Investor!
How can you not make the same mistakes as Newton!

How NRIs Can Make The Most Of Their Time In Singapore

Posted on by
1

A recent study by the Ministry of External Affairs Consular Services showed that NRIs (non-resident Indians) make up 24% of Singapore’s ‘non-resident’ population, which is currently at 1.4 million. Even though this group is referred to as ‘non-resident’, they are living and working as professionals in Singapore. This means that they are not considered as tax residents in India. Many of my clients come from this demographic, and as such, I felt it would be best to share some of the topics we discuss, namely, what they can do whilst they are living and working in Singapore to make the most of their time here.

  1. Saving

I will admit that Indian bank accounts have great interest rates- general public interest rates can be as good as 7.85% per year, and this often puts many NRIs off saving or even investing in Singapore, because they feel that the rate of return is low in comparison. However, there are many factors that have to be considered, which I believe makes Singapore a good place to build wealth. The first is that the Singapore Dollar is a stable currency. INR continues to depreciate against SGD by 3-4% per annum, with an inflation rate of 5.69%, meaning that rupees purchasing power will become less and less as the years go on, meaning that saving in INR and Indian bank accounts may not be as beneficial in the long run. The SGD is among one of the few stable and most traded currencies globally. It is regarded as a safe haven asset that also hedges against currency risk.

Not only that, the Singapore banking system is not only safe but simple; the Monetary Authority of Singapore esures tight regulations, but it doesn’t mean more bureaucracy. It is quite simple to transfer money around or even overseas from Singapore. This is in contrast to India, where there are still a lot of tedious processes in place, especially when it comes to selling a property as an NRI, or moving money out of the country.

2. Tax Relief Opportunities

This may be one of the most attractive reasons for NRIs to plan their finances in Singapore. There are many different kinds of taxes in India, whether that be direct or indirect. Direct taxes include things like income tax, capital gains tax or gift tax, with indirect tax including customs duty, value-added tax and service tax. This tax-heavy system can eat into your bank interest rate or your investment rate of return. In Singapore we have no capital gains tax, low income tax in comparison to other countries, and lots of tax reliefs, such as the SRS scheme (check out my articles on this topic here https://danielleteboul.com/2023/08/10/why-should-expats-open-an-srs-account/).

Source:

India Today Web Desk

New Delhi,UPDATED: Feb 1, 2023 14:14 IST

3. Investing

Speaking of capital gains tax and SRS accounts; there are many great investment opportunities here in Singapore. For example, in India, offshore funds are restricted. This means that many clients I encounter have excellent domestic portfolios (and don’t get me wrong, India is one of the champions of emerging markets, so it’s a must in someone’s portfolio!) but it is not diversified in terms of geographical location. Not only does that increase your investment risk, but it also means that you as an NRI are only having a small piece of the pie. In Singapore, so long as it is regulated and approved by MAS, you are not restricted to the funds you have. You can have access to regional, global, US, European, emerging market funds. And all of this is incredibly convenient, flexible and cost-effective. It’s pretty much the best of both worlds because you have the safety of Singapore, with the unlimited upside potential of global assets.

4. Being Of NRI Status

Being an NRI definitely has more perks than being a tax paying resident in India, such as all the previous things I have mentioned. Not only that, it means that whilst you are an NRI, you do not have to pay taxes on foreign investment or gifts received from relatives. This of course changes when you are back to being a tax paying Indian resident, with 20% tax on foreign capital gains. This is why it is crucial to make the most of your NRI status whilst you are earning in SGD. Ideally, you can build up a nice pool of assets and savings whilst overseas, and then once you retire or settle down in India, you can plan your finances accordingly following Indian tax ruling. The fact is that not every Indian will get the chance to become and NRI, and the Indian government has allowed many concessions for NRIs living and working overseas, to encourage globalisation. It is best to make the most of being an NRI, enjoying the stable and strong currency of SG, whilst enjoying offshore investment returns.

At the end of the day, we cannot avoid tax, and with many NRIs (60%) still preferring to retire in India, tax is inevitable. But, there is a window where this doesn’t have to be the case. Singapore is a capital gains haven! Why would you pass up on that opportunity!

Fixed Income Leaders Summit

Posted on by
Reply

Towards the end of 2023, I had the honour of speaking at the Fixed Income Leaders Summit in Singapore.

I also shared my thoughts on the bond market and how investors can handle market volatility.

Check out the video and write up here:

https://fixedincomeapac.wbresearch.com/blog/mastering-wealth-management-in-market-volatility-bond-risks-and-inflation

2023 Reflection

Posted on by
1

Whilst I am a big advocate for looking forward, I have learnt over the past year that reflection is just as important. So, I thought that it would be beneficial to look back over the past year and think about all the challenges and accomplishments I have experienced.

Personal Challenges

I’m not going to dwell too much on this topic but I feel that it’s important to highlight because I have not had a perfect year- whilst my professional life has been a success story, I have had my own crosses to bear in my personal life. I recently lost someone very close to me, only a few weeks before Christmas, and this has made me remember even more that family is most important and we should cherish these moments that we have.

Many people have commented that I seem fine on social media and that I’m still going to work, so I must be ok, but this is truly not the case. Grief hits people differently, and I’m choosing to try to continue with the day to day.

Business Challenges

Of course, like the market, work life also has its ups and downs. Not only have we all struggled with the cost of living and the markets not recovering like we had hoped, but here in Singapore the job market has become extremely volatile. I’ve had lots of clients, and indeed friends, leave Singapore due to losing their jobs or finding better opportunities elsewhere. Luckily, I am still in contact with many and some have even returned to Singapore, but it just shows that nothing is certain, not even our jobs, which is why it is so important to plan, have emergency savings etc.

On top of this, as many may know, during the first half of the year I was feeling quite deflated about my work situation; I felt that I was frequently made to choose between work and my personal time, and I felt that I was neglecting other parts of me. If you have read my reflection post when I turned 30, I think you will understand a bit more. I was starting to feel like there was a glass ceiling too; the holistic planning I was providing for my clients had gaps in, as I could only provide certain solutions. This made me feel like there must be something more, something better, so that I can be offering my clients the best service possible.

Business Successes

This actually led me onto many business successes. I truly believe that if there’s something wrong in your life that you can make an effort to change, you should do so. So that’s what I did. When I turned 30 I changed my mindset, sorted out my work-life balance, upgraded my skills and even changed jobs. Now I can provide my clients with even more support and advice that before, with solutions that are more suited to the expat transience we so frequently see in Singapore. Not only that, the level of support and resources that I am receiving now means that I can have a wider reach; I’ve recently had amazing opportunities such as speaking at conferences, hosting my own launch event, attending investment insight conferences and as of next year I will hopefully be joining an advisory board (more news to come)!

Of course I need to thank of all those that entrusted me with these opportunities to speak and share my knowledge, but this has also proven to myself that I can do it- that lul in the middle of the year was only temporary, and I am very excited for the upward trajectory I appear to be on for 2024. I’ve managed to empower and inspire others through my articles, videos and podcasts, and I can feel like I’m really making a difference.

Personal Successes

I feel like this positivity and new lease of life when changing jobs has created a domino effect, where things in my personal life have also been going well. I’m a lot happier and less stressed, which means that I am able to nurture and spend time working on my relationships. My friendships have grown stronger this year, I have travelled for some beautiful weddings, and I’m very blessed that my friends shared their special days with me, and I will be travelling home for Christmas to spend some quality time with my family.

Whilst this year has been far from perfect, I’m very lucky to have the life I have- I have wonderful friends, family and husband, my career is on the up, and whilst there has been a lot of sadness too, I’m ready to grieve and put the effort into healing.

I hope you took something away from this and it wasn’t just a self-indulgent exercise; I encourage everyone to reflect during this time of year and look forward to the year ahead!

Let’s Talk About Finance Basics For Young Women

Posted on by
Reply

I’ve just finished my new ebook: Let’s Talk About Finance Basics For Young Women!

In this ebook, I’ll be delving into the socio and psychological consequences of financial literacy, along with how our upbringing could have affected our money mind. Not only that, I have a few strategies on how to discuss money without shame or judgement, along with some basic budgeting tips and what we should be saving for.

Feel free to read, share and let me know what you think!

lets-talk-about-finance-basics-for-young-women-2Download